Saturday, February 23, 2013

Oscar Predictions

First off I'd like to apologize for my two month hiatus from the bloggosphere. I was too busy through the holidays and movies pretty much suck this time of the year unless they are nominated which is what I'm discussing today. I will give you a preview of the awards and give you a detailed analysis of what I think will win and what should win (for the major awards that I can actually provide input on).

The 85th Annual Academy Awards (which have been re-branded simply as "The Oscars" this year for some reason) take place this Sunday at the Dolby Theatre (formerly known as the Kodak [RIP FILM]). The mustiest of the Award Ceremonies in the season also happens to be the most prestigious. The Golden Globes have never been regarded as highly as the Oscars so everyone just gets blasted and has a great time. The hosts of the Globes have become funnier and because it is less formal and stuffy, it's more enjoyable to watch.

The spectacle that used to be the Academy Awards has changed several times over the last decade as they've tried to reach the younger audiences in different ways. Two years ago they had a visibly high James Franco host with Anne Hathaway in what had to have been the most awful awards ceremony in recent memory. Then they brought back the grotesque Billy Crystal to host last year, after Eddie Murphy backed out because Brett "Rehearsal is for Fags" Ratner resigned as director. The Academy wanted to bring it back to grass roots and it was more or less boring. They tried to make it more entertaining by having a Cirque Du Soleil portion during the middle, which some people liked, but having seen a few of them in person I thought it was pretty bland. They just can capture the majesty on a camera, it has to be seen in person to appreciate how amazing it truly is.

This year they hired funny man, Family Guy creator, Seth McFarlane to host which I think is a great decision. The problem is that his comic value will be severely limited because he will have to follow the Academy's staunch guidelines for being PC (politically correct). If they just let him go out there and deliver a ton of lewd jokes prodding the actors then it would be a fantastic show. Ricky Gervais got away with this at the Golden Globes a few years back and it was hilarious. The Academy doesn't have a very good sense of humor so Seth's comic ability will be held back.

Now on to the actual awards. Every year a ton of scrutiny goes into who gets nominated and who gets snubbed. It seems like these last few years have had an even bigger microscope over them since The Dark Knight was snubbed from a best picture nod and they upped the amount of best pictures to 10. Now the rules are that as much as 10 can be nominated so if a movie gets a certain amount of votes it can be in the running for best picture. This is why this year we have 9 nominations for best picture this year.

Best Picture

What I think Will Win:
Argo

This one is tricky. Argo has managed to rake in nearly every major award this season and it has a ton of momentum going into the awards. The drawback: The Academy didn't nominate Ben Affleck for best director...

The last film to win best picture without the director being nominated was Driving Miss Daisy in 1989. It's only happened 4 times in the 84 years the Academy has been around to this point. So the odds aren't in it's favor in that regard.

The fact that Affleck wasn't nominated made it seem that the film didn't have a chance to win but since then it has taken home the top prize at the Golden Globes, the Directors Guild Awards, The Producers Guild Awards, and the Screen Actors Guild. To this point the fact that Affleck was left off of the best director ballot has left nearly everyone scratching their heads. Ben is more than deserving of a nomination if not the actual award and it's just mind boggling to think that he was left off. Everyone loves the comeback kid except for the Academy I guess which scares me when it comes to the award.

Even with all this momentum will it win? Will the Academy remain headstrong and arrogant by picking the unimpressive Lincoln to win? Who knows what the academy will do, they're a bunch of old assholes who don't really give a shit about public opinion.

What Should Win That's Nominated:
Zero Dark Thirty or Argo.

I think both of these films were seamless cinematic experiences. While a movie can be good if it isn't smooth and has flaws, it can rarely be great. Both Zero Dark and Argo were terrific. Even though we pretty much knew the story of Argo and how it was going to turn out, we were compelled by the filmmaking. One of the hardest things about making a period piece drama is to make it feel right and the film feels right throughout. While a lot of the suspense seems convenient it still manages to grip you and keep you on the edge of your seat.

Let's talk about modern war films for a second and say that any film company who is planning on making one other than Katheryn Bigelow, should halt their production immediately, and just give up because this woman is better than whatever you're making. Unfortunately Zero Dark's biggest problem was the subject matter of torture that surrounded the film in a bunch of negative press. Some people misconstrued the film and came across with the conclusion that the film was pro-torture, when in fact the film didn't have a stance on it whatsoever. The Government wasn't happy with it and steadfastly denied the use of torture to find Bin Laden entirely. Like The Hurt Locker, the film appeared to me as merely a character study of a person that had no political stance whatsoever. You take away that negative press, and this film would be in high contention, but since Bigelow wasn't nominated for best director and the film has that negative press, I just don't see it pulling that off.

Dark Horse: Silver Lining's Playbook

If Argo doesn't win best picture and the Academy is stupid like I think it is, then I would imagine the award would go to Lincoln. It's the most logical choice for them to make considering it's a film about one of the most important political figures in history, it has one of the most storied directors in the history of film, and is definitely going to pick up at least one award in the acting categories. The movie however is really boring, is shot poorly, and has a shitty ending. It would be a very undeserving best picture and I would become even more disenchanted by the awards then I already am.

If somehow or other the Academy didn't award it to either Argo or Lincoln, I would imagine the award would fall to Silver Linings. Silver Linings is complicated. It's a movie that I both love and hate. I hate the plot and the story, yet every time I think about it I fall in love with the characters anyway. It's a tricky movie to evaluate because the performances are what drive the film, and the performances are terrific. The plot is kind of convoluted and everything ends up hindering on this dance. Not to mention the fact that the ending of the movie is only the beginning of a relationship between two people who both have a damaging past.

Still the critics have ate the film up, and Jennifer Lawrence has been pulling in most of the major awards. Plus the film tackles a potent topic of mental illness which has been looming over the past few years as we are becoming more aware of the trials and tribulations these people face. I don't see it winning, but you never know, maybe every one else in the academy was as stupid as I was to fall for this off-kilter relationship.

Nominated Films That Don't Have a Chance of Winning:
Amour, Django Unchained, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Life of Pi, and Les Miserables.

Not that any of these films necessarily doesn't deserve to be nominated, but I just don't see them having any chance to win.

I think the Beasts of the Southern Wild nomination was to counter the fact that they nominated Django. Basically to say "hey we're not racist, we nominated this other movie that has a lot of black people in it". I mean the movie is great, don't get me wrong, I loved Beasts, but there is no universe or year where that film is winning, so it doesn't really need to be nominated.

Les Mis really isn't all that amazing. Most of the performances are stellar, but the movie is pretty tough to swallow up until Sacha Baron Cohen and Helena Bonham Carter make their first appearance and liven it up.

Amour seems like a movie they nominated because a french movie (The Artist) won last year.

Life of Pi just looked really stupid and I hate movies that try as hard as they can to "spiritually enlighten" me.
 
Nominated film I enjoyed the Most:
Django Unchained

The first time I saw Django, I'll admit I wasn't completely sold. I enjoyed what I watched but having Inglorious Basterds fresh in my mind after watching it a few weeks before, I expected a little more. I have seen it twice since that first screening, one time at the New Beverly movie theater, which is owned by Tarantino, and had special hand picked vintage trailers and a cartoon to play before it. Seeing it this time after the trailers to the ridiculous spaghetti westerns and blacksploitation films he used as his influences I was able to accurately understand his vision. It was also a little long the first time and I was uncomfortable laughing in a theater with only like 13 people. The other times there were far more people so I wasn't as uncomfortable laughing at certain parts. I don't think it's Tarantino's best film but it definitely is a great one. Spike Lee is an asshole for refusing to see it. Tarantino is a much more talented filmmaker, just deal with it Spike.

What Got Snubbed: The Master and Moonrise Kingdom

I think the Academy has become afraid of films that challenge the audience, and give them something to talk about and discuss after the film is over. When you think about it the only film nominated that truly makes you think about what you saw is Beasts which is no where near as good as The Master. The Academy shouldn't scorn movies that challenge audiences and give us a lot to talk and think about, they should celebrate that. Not only do I wish the Academy had the balls to nominate it, but that they actually had the balls to vote it to win. Unfortunately people who make movies don’t like movies about scientology that aren’t about scientology.

Moonrise Kingdom was up there in the most entertaining films of the year for me. It's probably the most accessible Wes Anderson movie and it's theme is something that all audiences can relate to:  young love. Still you either love Wes Anderson's style, or you despise it. His films are quirky but can rub you the wrong way if you can't accept the world that he paints. Still, Moonrise is extremely funny, and heartwarming at the same time. A great period film about love and family. I think it could definitely could've and should've gotten a nomination.

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Best Director

Who I think Will Win: Steven Spielberg?

I mean Affleck, Bigelow, Tarantino, and Paul Thomas Anderson aren't nominated for some reason so he would be the only logical choice, right? I feel like this was done for a reason. Take all of the other worthy competition of the category entirely and the award is gifted to Spielberg by default.

What Deserves to Win Thats Nominated/ Dark Horse:
David O. Russell, I guess.

I mean Ang Lee is nominated for some reason, the person for Beasts would be a cool choice but I think the academy was just trying to be "hip" by nominating him, and who has seen Amour? (I don't even bother looking up their names because who cares?) David O. Russell did get some really great performances out of his actors but I feel like he has a vice grip on the entire process which bothers me. His movies are disheveled. They're poorly edited, have shitty sound, and because of these things they don't feel smooth. Whereas Katheryn Bigelow, and Ben Affleck crafted seamless movie experiences.

Still I guess I would choose O. Russell because I liked Silver Linings more than Lincoln and still think that it was a supremely overrated film that we like merely because of all of the people involved in making the movie. We didn't actually care what the finished product looked or felt like. We made our decisions on Lincoln the instant we said "Spielberg is directing a biopic of Abraham Lincoln?! And Daniel Day Lewis is playing him?!" while jumping up in the air and clapping our hands together like a high school freshman girl who just got asked out by the senior quarterback. We forgot to actually view the film impartially. You take away Spielberg's name and it's a decent movie about how to get bills passed that has a hilarious James Spader in it. That's about it.

What Really Deserves To Win:
Affleck
What Got Snubbed: Affleck, Bigelow, Tarantino and PTA.

While I think Zero Dark should win best pic, Bigelow is three years removed from pulling in a best director award for The Hurt Locker, so we know she is more than capable of making a captivating modern warfare film. Still she deserved to be nominated and it's ridiculous that she wasn't.

Tarantino is literally the only director in the history of cinema that could pull off a film like Django in this day and age. I don't understand why he wasn't nominated. Spike Lee's an asshole.

Paul Thomas Anderson is probably my favorite director in Hollywood right now, and he still hasn't gotten the respect he deserves from the Academy. I'm really happy to know that he will never pander to the Academy by making movies that are intrinsically simple. His films will always be challenging to digest and will leave you thinking about them for weeks if not months.

I'm made it sound like I think PTA deserves to win, but I think Affleck really does deserve it this year considering the fact that Argo is probably going to win best picture. I probably would say I think PTA should win if The Master was nominated for best picture, but I think considering the circumstances, that Affleck should take home the award. He made an extremely entertaining film that kept us at the edge of our seats and made us laugh even though we pretty much knew the ending. That's a pretty stellar achievement. I do sometimes think that the awards should go to the most entertaining movie of the year, and Argo probably was that.

Best Original Screenplay


Who Will and Should Win:
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained

Why should Tarantino win this award? He is the only person who can take a truly grotesque thing, and treat it completely seriously, while making you laugh like it's not serious at the same time. There are extremely powerful scenes of Django that make you shiver and grit your teeth, and there are scenes that make you feel your ribs hurt from laughter. Nobody can else can do this. It stems from his dialogue. His dialogue is what shapes and moves his movies.

Tarantino’s main competition would be Mark Boal for Zero Dark, but again he’s only 3 years removed from winning the award so I think it may fall to Tarantino.

It would be really cool if Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola could win it for Moonrise, but I think the polarizing views of Anderson films would make that difficult to come by.

Best Adapted Screenplay


Who Will and Should Win: Chris Terrio, Argo

I don’t actually know if Terrio is the front runner but I would assume that he is considering the film itself is a front runner for best picture. I mean, *spoiler alert* “Argo Fuck Yourself” is reason enough to win that award in my eyes.

I fear that this award may be passed to Tony Kushner for his Lincoln screenplay which I heard is roughly 500 pages long... My theory is that he was writing it to be a short series because that is just absolutely ridiculous. You shouldn’t win a best adapted screenplay award if less than half of your screenplay actually hit the screen but that’s my opinion. Still if Terrio doesn’t win for Argo, this would be the academy’s next logical choice.

Dark Horse: David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

This movie is about mental illness which is a hot topic in our society. It is something that surrounds us in our daily lives and hasn’t been explored all that much in film. The film does a pretty decent human portrayal of mental disorders through the perspective of family, and even love. It’s also zany, and funny even through all of it’s flaws. I still don’t see it winning but I wouldn’t be overly surprised if it did.

Best Actor

Who Will Win: Daniel Day Lewis, Lincoln

Blah Blah Lincoln Lincoln Daniel Day Lewis Blah Blah Steven Spielberg Blah Blah.

Not that Daniel Day Lewis’ performance wasn’t great, there are people far more deserving of the award this year, and every time Abraham Lincoln spoke in the movie the camera slowly zoomed in on him to try and make it a more “epic” speech. Daniel Plainview was a much more deserving winner.

Who Should Win: Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Just watch the trailer to this movie, or the few clips they have online and it will be clear that he deserves the award. Sure we’ve seen Joaquin be weird and even a bit rapey before, but he straps on a set of crazy eyes like you’ve never seen and there’s a scene between him and Philip Seymour Hoffman that is deserving of both a best actor and best supporting actor award alone.

Joaquin sealed his own fate as a loser in an interview last year when he was asked about the oscars and he said “I think it’s total, utter bullshit, and I don’t want to be a part of it.” He then went on to compare the Oscars to a “carrot.” Not just any carrot though, “the worst-tasting carrot I’ve ever tasted in my whole life.” While I agree that the Oscars are a massive pissing contest, it’s not a bad thing to be rewarded for your hard and dedicated work. It’s too bad, because his performance is far and away the best of the year.

Best Actress

Who Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence, The Silver Linings Playbook

People gave her flak for her “I beat Meryl!” line that started her heartfelt speech at the Golden Globes, but it was an innocent joke, and also a line from the movie the First Wives Club. Many took it as a cocky statement but J-Law is just a witty person who couldn’t believe nobody ever used it in an award ceremony when pitted against the great Meryl Streep considering it’s from a movie. And seriously, why would Meryl care, she’s been nominated so many times you almost cant count it on four hands.

The reality is, J-Law is a bright new blip on the radar. A stunning talent who is refreshing in the world of attractive actresses we recycle in and out of chick flicks every year. She will be around a long time, and she deserves it.

Who Should Win: Jennifer Lawrence’s Body, Silver Linings Playbook

She’s just insanely hot.

But in actuality I think both J-Law and Jessica Chastain are equally deserving of the best actress award this year. Both give layered performances, but J-Law get’s a little crazier in Silver Linings. My aggravation with the plot of that movie would make me give it to Chastain because I think Silver Linings is far from a complete happy ending. I wont complain J-Law accepts the trophy on Sunday night though. That means she’ll get extra screen time which is fine with me.

Best Supporting Actor

Who Will Win:
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Why? I don’t know. There isn’t really anything special about his performance in this film whatsoever but he seems to be gathering momentum going into the awards so who knows. James Spader is the only person who was interesting in the entire movie, but hey, Tommy Lee Jones is old so let’s just give it to him I guess.

Who Should Win:
Philip Seymour Hoffman or Robert DeNiro

I already told you about the scene in The Master, when PSH does a face to face interview session with Joaquin Phoenix and that it deserves awards. It’s not complicated, that scene is absolutely brilliant and I urge you to see the movie. The whole move is amazing, but it’s worth it just for that scene.

I would argue that Bobby DeNiro is the other solid choice for this award. He gives his first really layered and heartfelt performance in over a decade. Since the mid to late 90’s his specialty has been shitty action movies, and family comedies. This was his first serious turn at dramatic acting in quite some time and I personally think he was the best part of Silver Linings, acting wise that is (J-Law’s ridiculous body is the best part). This is his first nomination in over 20 years (Cape Fear, 1991) and it would be cool if he hoisted up another trophy.

I don’t see PSH holding up a trophy this year, but I would count DeNiro as the dark horse in this supporting actor race. Hopefully he comes out on top because Tommy Lee doesn’t deserve it for this role.

Best Supporting Actress


Who Will and Should Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables

When Anne Hathaway I first saw “I dreamed a dream” in Tom Hooper’s screen adaptation of the musical, I almost got up and walked out of the theater to catch a breath. A single tear ran down my cheek after it. It was absolutely beautiful, even when it wasn’t. She really unlocked all the emotion you could ever get from the lyrics and it gave me chills. Hathaway does more acting in that song than most actors and actresses achieve in their careers. Her sparse scenes at the beginning are what carry the first act which is dreadfully dull. Without her the movie would’ve been really tough to handle at the beginning.

The only other person who may deserve it is Amy Adams for the *spoiler alert* handjob scene in  The Master.

Cinematography

Who Will Win: Claudio Miranda, Life of Pi

I feel like this award will not go the way I want it to and it will either fall into the hands of this “Claudio” guy, or Janusz Kaminski, for Lincoln. I heard that Life of Pi was a breathtaking film, and it takes crafty work with the camera and lots of CGI to convince the audience that he’s trapped on a boat with a tiger the whole movie only to find out that he’s not trapped on a boat with a tiger and it’s just a metaphor for survival. Sorry if I just gave away the big plot twist of the movie but I haven’t seen it and that ending is absolutely ridiculous.

I’m pretty much appalled at the Academy’s choice to even nominate Lincoln for this award which scares me to think that they may actually just give this award to them. Every time old Abe speaks, an epic slow motion zoom occurs until we’re inches from his face and he leaves us with an amazing lesson, or ideal. It bothered me the second I saw the first zoom in and it happened literally any time Lincoln said over two sentences. The rest of the camera work was unimpressive and bland. To think that it got nominated over The Master for this award is really just laughable.

Who Should Win: Roger Deakins, Skyfall

Let me give you a brief little look into the portfolio of maybe the best oscar-less cinematographer working in Hollywood: No Country For Old Men, Shawshank Redemption, O’Brother, Where Art Thou?, True Grit (2010), The Big Lebowski, A Beautiful Mind, and that’s just to name a few. He’s been nominated for an Oscar ten times and he still has yet to hold his own golden trophy in his hands.

But this wouldn’t just be a pity award gift him because he’s “paid his dues.” His work in Skyfall is remarkable. The shots of the Aston Martin driving through countryside in the UK, the fight scene silhouetted by the Shanghai skyline, and Bond’s entrance to the casino in Macau are easily the most artful shots in the entire franchise. Skyfall isn’t the best Bond necessarily, but it definitely had the best people crafting it, top to bottom, in the 50 year history of the films. I still think Casino Royale was better, but imagine how much better it may have been if Roger Deakins was behind the camera for that one too...

It’s not impossible for Deakins to pull in this award. I’ve heard enough public demand for the award to be given to him. I just don’t think they’d hand it off to an action flick let alone a Bond movie. It’s too bad, because I hate CGI tigers and slow zooms.

Best Animated Feature Film


What Will Win: Brave?

I honestly have no clue with this award. The only one I actually did see was Wreck-It Ralph, which was great but any movie that features a song by Owl City doesn’t deserve to win anything. I heard great things about all the other ones but not enough about any of them to think they will win. I feel like Brave will pull in the award just because it’s a pixar movie so it will go to them on reputation alone. I don’t really have any input on the other films. I still plan on seeing them but I just haven’t gotten around to it.

Best Costume Design

What Will Win: Paco Delgado, Les Miserables

The guy’s name is Paco? He deserves to win this award on that alone.

Best Documentary Feature

What Will Win: I have no idea.

I haven’t seen any of the documentaries nominated and the only one I even heard about was Searching for Sugar Man. I guess I’ll choose that one. Jiro Dreams of Sushi was a really amazing documentary that I would’ve liked to see nominated. This photo of Arnold and Jiro is Oscar worthy in and of itself.




Best Foreign Language Film

What Will Win: Amour

This seems pretty obvious because it’s the only foreign movie nominated for best picture. By that rationale how could anything else win? Not that I like Michael Moore at all but he had to take his Fahrenheit 911 out of the category of Best Documentary film in order to try and get a Best Picture nomination because he couldn’t have it in both. I don’t see why other films can have their films nominated for both. If he wasn’t such an asshole he probably would’ve been able to be nominated for both.

Best Animated Short Film

What Will Win: Paperman

I have no idea if it is the best one, but it’s the only animated short I saw this year and it was pretty cute.
But- it must have some stiff competition considering there is one named Fresh Guacamole by a man named “Pes” with no last name. Both of those things intrigue me heavily so it has to be good. We’ll see if Paperman can top some Fresh Guac on Sunday.

Best Short Film, and Best Short Documentary

I didn’t see any movies in either category so I can give no opinion on them whatsoever.



Best Film Editing

What Will Win: William Goldenberg, Argo

What Should Win: Argo or Dillon Tichenor and William Goldberg for Zero Dark Thirty

I already told you that both films are squeaky clean in the technical sense. So much of this is achieved in the editing process. Just look, William Goldberg worked on both films so he clearly did good work this past year. I’d be fine with either of these films taking home this award.

I don’t know why Silver Linings got nominated because that movie was edited really poorly.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Who Will Win: Who the fuck cares?

This is the one award that I thought Lincoln deserved to take home because they did do a great job with that. Instead they weren’t even nominated which I find funny. The makeup in Hitchcock looks comically awful to me, yet that got nominated. I know I don’t know anything about makeup, but when the characters in your movie don’t look like people then I think you did a pretty shitty job. That’s just me I guess.

Best Original Score

This is another award I don’t really care about this year. Some years you’ll have a few great scores squaring off. Back at the 2010 awards when both the score for the Social Network and Inception were nominated I found it interesting. Unfortunately we have a bunch of decent scores, but nothing to write home about. I’d give it to Skyfall but I don’t think they’ll give it to an action movie.

Music Original Song

What Will Win: “Skyfall” from Skyfall, by Adele

Everyone in the world seems to swoon over Adele’s music. I happen to not give a fuck. “Skyfall” is a pretty decent Bond song, and probably the best one in quite some time. I guess she deserves the award. I dunno there’s something off about Adele to me. She reminds me of a shark. I feel like if we cut upon her stomach, a license plate, a bunch of Grammys, and a Golden globe would fall out. I guess it only makes sense for them to add an Academy Award to that.

Production Design

What Will Win: Lincoln
What Should Win: Les Miserables

I feel like Lincoln will grab this award even though the movie couldn’t be any more visually bland. Les Miserables had some breathtaking sets and the overall design was terrific. Unfortunately it was utilized poorly by focusing on close-ups and extreme close-ups. All that amazing design was lost in the background of Russell Crowe’s furry nostrils. If it were utilized effectively I think it would be the clear winner, but because it wasn’t, I think the peeps for Lincoln will scoop up this one.

Sound Editing

What Will Win: Eugene Gearty and Philip Stockton, Life of Pi
What Should Win: Paul N.J. Ottosson, Zero Dark Thirty

I feel like this is another time the Academy will get it really wrong. Zero Dark has clean and crisp sound throughout. Hell the first 30 or so seconds of the film is just sound bytes from people calling their loved ones from the planes that were hijacked from 9/11 or people who were in the towers while they were collapsing. The screen is black because we can all remember it so vividly from when we saw it all over the news that day. It’s extremely emotional and done extremely well. This whole part is more of a sound mixing thing, but Zero Dark isn’t even fucking nominated for that. The rest of the movie is quiet when it needs to be, and booming when it needs to be.

The reason I think Life of Pi will take it away from Zero Dark is because the Academy loves awarding people who aren’t worthy of being nominated. “There were some really neat tiger roars in this movie, lets give it an academy award.”

Sound Mixing

What Will Win: Ron Bartlett, D.M. Hemphill and Drew Kunin, Life of Pi, or Andy Nelson, Mark Paterson and Simon Hayes, Les Miserables

What Should Win (And Isn’t Nominated as I’ve Already Indicated): Zero Dark Thirty

I would be okay with Les Miserables taking home that award but I thought a lot of the beginning was messy and certain parts were a little too quiet for me to hear the lyrics. Of course I saw the movie in Waterford, CT, which wouldn’t do it justice, but still the whole first act is a mess. “One Day More” was an extremely powerful sequence in the movie and if it wins the Oscar I would say it’s from that scene.

Still I feel like Life of Pi will get the award because people just swooned over the technical aspects of this film so it only makes sense for it to win those awards.

I already wrote why Zero Dark should win and I’m not going to repeat myself.

Best Visual Effects

Who Will Win: Bill Westenhofer, Guillaume Rocheron, Erik-Jan De Boer and Donald R. Elliott, Life of Pi

What Should Win: Richard Stammers, Trevor Wood, Charley Henley and Martin Hill, Prometheus

Prometheus may have the finest special effects I’ve ever seen in my entire life. There are sequences in this film where my jaw literally dropped because we were displayed with such a clear and beautiful, visual feast.

The reason it won’t win: the movie just just “okay.” If it were a better movie, I think it would definitely get the award, but because Life of Pi is nominated for best picture and James Cameron loved it, it will go to that.

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I think I’ve managed to cover all the major bases in this analysis of what to expect tomorrow at the awards themselves. I hope the 50 year tribute they do to Bond is great, and Seth McFarlane can be funny.

Also, go everything that’s not Lincoln or Life of Pi!

PS. I apologize if this is littered with poor spelling and grammar issues. It took a really long fucking time to write and I don’t feel like re-reading it.

Deal with it.


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